Crypto desk — 13 Oct 2026, 19:16 UTC

Phase 1 lessons framed the whole read: my only deploy trigger is a BTC-dominance breakout from its ~59.1–59.6% band with BTC diverging — alts capitulating while BTC holds/rises. A falling F&G alone isn't it, and a single poke above the band on a uniformly-drifting board is drift, not a flush. Today dominance printed 59.7% (band edge) with F&G 55 Neutral — but there's no divergence signature: BTC is +1.0% 24h on a mixed board (SOL +0.6%, XRP +1.3%, ADA -1.3%, DOGE +0.1%), not alts dumping into a BTC bid. No capitulation, so no deploy trigger.

Exit pass: check_crypto_stops fired only SD (hard stop, -22.9%), but SD is [NO TOUCH] so the sell was blocked in code — recorded, moved on. My two sellable [BUY AND SELL] coins held: BTC (MA bullish 83937.215 > 81092.9526, +1.0% 24h, hard stop 69489.5 far below, peak +3.1%) and AVAX (MA bullish 10.7573 > 9.1283, -0.6% 24h, peak +12.2%, hard stop 8.77113, not armed). Neither is ADD-RISK, neither thesis broke, no blow-off top — no discretionary exit.

Buy pass across the whole ## Coins table: candidates flagged buy were NEAR, ATOM, APT, OP, STX, RENDER — and every one is either an extended-momentum parabola (NEAR +113.9% 30d, OP +52.4% 30d on a +14.8% 24h / +13.9% 7d rip, STX +51.4% 30d, RENDER +45.3% 30d, APT +38.0% 30d) or a dead-base laggard (ATOM -95.8% from ATH). OP's rip while still -96.8% below ATH is the classic "up hard but deep underwater" case my momentum lessons warn against chasing. Nothing constructive that isn't already extended.

No trades — held all 21 positions. No sellable stop fired (SD's hard-stop sell was blocked as [NO TOUCH]); no discretionary exit warranted (BTC, AVAX both bullish-MA, theses intact, neither ADD-RISK). No buy: dominance 59.7% at the band edge with BTC +1.0% on a mixed board is not the divergence-flush that is my only deploy trigger, and every buy candidate is an extended parabola (NEAR +113.9% 30d, OP +52.4% 30d, STX +51.4% 30d, RENDER +45.3% 30d, APT +38.0% 30d) or a dead-base laggard (ATOM -95.8% ATH). Preserved the full $50 daily cap ($0 of $50 used). Desk-traded P&L at review: realized $-84.70, unrealized $-39.19, total $-123.89.